weather analysis and forecasting



Dorling Steve Operational Weather Forecasting Dorling Steve Operational Weather Forecasting Новинка

Dorling Steve Operational Weather Forecasting

12436.29 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-end process of forecast production, and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; with plenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues and examples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is the generation of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales, often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecasting having been undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations in practices between different forecasting centres. Thus the authors have tried to be as generic as possible when describing aspects of numerical model design and formulation. Despite the reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part to play in producing weather forecasts and this is described, along with the issue of forecast verification – how forecast centres measure their own performance and improve upon it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use this book to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-day applications of weather forecast production. In addition, professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional users of weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member of the RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate series a valuable tool. Provides an end-to-end description of the weather forecasting process Clearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the book discusses the practical choices that operational forecasting centres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use and when they are run. Takes a very practical approach, using real life case-studies to contextualize information Discusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemble methods, monthly to seasonal range prediction and use of ‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satellite imagery Full colour throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors with experience in both academia and practice. Part of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather and Climate’
Murat Kulahci Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Murat Kulahci Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Новинка

Murat Kulahci Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

10047.35 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Praise for the First Edition «…[t]he book is great for readers who need to apply the methods and models presented but have little background in mathematics and statistics.» -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents the underlying theories of time series analysis that are needed to analyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- to medium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals in engineering statistics, the Second Edition features discussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies as well as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including health care, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®, and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecasting techniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporal data analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum with applications as well as transfer and intervention model functions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint® slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate and graduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book is also an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers who need to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.
Diop-Kane Mariane Meteorology of Tropical West Africa. The Forecasters' Handbook Diop-Kane Mariane Meteorology of Tropical West Africa. The Forecasters' Handbook Новинка

Diop-Kane Mariane Meteorology of Tropical West Africa. The Forecasters' Handbook

10932.18 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Meteorology of tropical West Africa: the Forecasters’ Handbook presents the science and practice of weather forecasting for an important region of the tropics. Connecting basic theory with forecasting practice, the book provides a unique training volume for operational weather forecasters, and is also suitable for students of tropical meteorology. The West African region contains a number of archetypal climatic zones, meaning that the science of its weather and climate applies to many other tropical regions. West Africa also exhibits some of the world’s most remarkable weather systems, making it an inspiring region for students to investigate. The weather of West Africa affects human livelihoods on a daily basis, and can contribute to hardship, poverty and mortality. Therefore, the ability to understand and predict the weather has the potential to deliver significant benefits to both society and economies. The book includes comprehensive background material alongside documentation of weather forecasting methods. Many examples taken from observations of West African weather systems are included and online case-studies are referenced widely.
Peter Hirschbichler Order Quantity Forecasting for the Fashion Industry Peter Hirschbichler Order Quantity Forecasting for the Fashion Industry Новинка

Peter Hirschbichler Order Quantity Forecasting for the Fashion Industry

Master's Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Computer Science - Applied, grade: 1, Fachhochschule Salzburg (Information Technology und Systems Management), language: English, abstract: Precise order quantity forecasting for fashion retailers is difficult, because of the specific nature of fashion products namely long lead times, seasonality, and product attributes suchas sizes, colours, and cuts. This thesis contributes to order quantity forecasting for fashion products by the use of regression analysis. For this purpose, forecasting techniques in general, and parametric as well as nonparametric regression analysis in articular are presented. This is followed by fundamentals of data mining, specifically data preprocessing and data warehousing, in order to be able to apply regression analysis on historical sales data. Furthermore, to examine the quality of forecasts a method forevaluating the economical benefit of order quantity forecasting was developed.As a next step, the presented methods for forecasting were applied to historical sales data. Therefore, sales data was analysed, regression models were applied and forecasts werecalculated and evaluated finally. This thesis is concluded by suggesting a forecasting implementation and by discussing the contributions to order quantity forecasting.
Michael Gilliland The Business Forecasting Deal. Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions Michael Gilliland The Business Forecasting Deal. Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions Новинка

Michael Gilliland The Business Forecasting Deal. Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions

3138.29 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Practical-nontechnical-solutions to the problems of business forecasting Written in a nontechnical style, this book provides practical solutions to common business forecasting problems, showing you how to think about business forecasting in the context of uncertainty, randomness and process performance. Addresses the philosophical foundations of forecasting Raises awareness of fundamental issues usually overlooked in pursuit of the perfect forecast Introduces a new way to think about business forecasting, focusing on process efficiency and the elimination of worst practices Provides practical approaches for the non-statistical problems forecasters face Illustrates Forecast Value Added (FVA) Analysis for identifying waste in the forecasting process Couched in the context of uncertainty, randomness, and process performance, this book offers new, innovative ideas for resolving your business forecasting problems.
Daynes Katie First Questions & Answers. What Makes it Rain? Daynes Katie First Questions & Answers. What Makes it Rain? Новинка

Daynes Katie First Questions & Answers. What Makes it Rain?

With flaps to lift on every page, this delightful book answers the questions that all young children ask about the weather, from Where does wind come from? to Why is it colder in winter? With surprising facts and weather forecasting tips, it makes a brilliant introduction to weather, which is a UK National Curriculum topic for Years 1 and 2.
Cynthia Kase A. Kase on Technical Analysis Workbook. Trading and Forecasting Cynthia Kase A. Kase on Technical Analysis Workbook. Trading and Forecasting Новинка

Cynthia Kase A. Kase on Technical Analysis Workbook. Trading and Forecasting

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Learn all you need to know about trading and forecasting with technical analysis Kase on Technical Analysis is the ultimate guide to forecasting and trading technically, a comprehensive «all you need to know» review of the topics. Award-winning instructor, Cynthia A. Kase, CMT1, MFTA2, engineer, veteran energy trader, and one of the world's preeminent market technicians, captures her 30 plus years of experience in thirteen half-hour sessions, for more than six in-depth hours on technical analysis essentials. Viewers will develop a better understanding of charting and technical indicators, and get an inside look at cutting edge material based on Kase's own unique indicators and innovative approaches to trading and forecasting. The video describes key techniques for interpreting market behavior and developing a technical approach to trading. The workbook provides practice exercises that reinforce the concepts learned as Kase guides viewers through the various methodologies and their real-life applications to successful market interactions. Technical analysis is based on the premise that the behavior of a market reveals all that is known about it. Price action, volatility and rates of price changes may be harnessed by Kase's techniques to forecast future prices, identify low risk, high reward trading opportunities, and to cut losses while letting profits run. Kase on Technical Analysis shows how it's done, providing clear and wide-ranging instruction and expert insight that helps viewers to: Build a foundational understanding of charting and technical indicators, including an introduction to latest techniques Learn the most important technical methods for interpreting and analyzing market behavior Effectively apply technical analysis to trading strategy, risk management and market forecasting Formulate entry and exit strategies by using pattern recognition and properly applying technical indicators Technical analysis is a core discipline used by successful traders to assess market conditions and time trades. This package covers the aspects of technical analysis needed for intelligent interaction with the markets, from theory to practice, with concrete guidance toward real-world application. For traders wanting to «come up to speed» on technical analysis, for those wanting a refresher on the topic, as well as for seasoned traders looking for new ideas, Kase on Technical Analysis provides deep insight from a global authority. 1 Chartered Market Technician awarded by the Market Technicians Association 2 Master of Financial Technical Analysis awarded by the International Federation of Technical Analysts
Robert Doe K. Extreme Weather. Forty Years of the Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO) Robert Doe K. Extreme Weather. Forty Years of the Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO) Новинка

Robert Doe K. Extreme Weather. Forty Years of the Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO)

6697.76 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
This book is about weather extremes in the United Kingdom. It presents fascinating and detailed insights into tornadoes (supercell and non-supercell tornadoes, historical and contemporary case studies, frequency and spatial distributions, and unique data on extreme events); thunderstorms (epic event analysis and observing); hailstorms (intensity, distributions and frequency of high magnitude events); lightning (lightning as a hazard, impacts and injuries); ball lightning (definitions, impacts and case studies); flooding (historical and contemporary analysis, extreme rainfall and flash flooding); snowfalls (heavy snowfall days and events). It also looks at researching weather extremes, provides guidance on performing post-storm site investigations and details what is involved in severe weather forecasting. It is written by members, directors and past and present Heads of the research group the Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO). With fifteen chapters thematically arranged, and data appendix including a new tornado map of the U.K., this book presents a wealth of information on meteorological extremes. This volume is aimed primarily at researchers in the field of meteorology and climatology, but will also be of interest to advanced undergraduate students taking relevant courses in this area.
Отсутствует Advanced Time Series Data Analysis. Forecasting Using EViews Отсутствует Advanced Time Series Data Analysis. Forecasting Using EViews Новинка

Отсутствует Advanced Time Series Data Analysis. Forecasting Using EViews

9952.05 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Introduces the latest developments in forecasting in advanced quantitative data analysis This book presents advanced univariate multiple regressions, which can directly be used to forecast their dependent variables, evaluate their in-sample forecast values, and compute forecast values beyond the sample period. Various alternative multiple regressions models are presented based on a single time series, bivariate, and triple time-series, which are developed by taking into account specific growth patterns of each dependent variables, starting with the simplest model up to the most advanced model. Graphs of the observed scores and the forecast evaluation of each of the models are offered to show the worst and the best forecast models among each set of the models of a specific independent variable. Advanced Time Series Data Analysis: Forecasting Using EViews provides readers with a number of modern, advanced forecast models not featured in any other book. They include various interaction models, models with alternative trends (including the models with heterogeneous trends), and complete heterogeneous models for monthly time series, quarterly time series, and annually time series. Each of the models can be applied by all quantitative researchers. Presents models that are all classroom tested Contains real-life data samples Contains over 350 equation specifications of various time series models Contains over 200 illustrative examples with special notes and comments Applicable for time series data of all quantitative studies Advanced Time Series Data Analysis: Forecasting Using EViews will appeal to researchers and practitioners in forecasting models, as well as those studying quantitative data analysis. It is suitable for those wishing to obtain a better knowledge and understanding on forecasting, specifically the uncertainty of forecast values.
George E. P. Box Time Series Analysis. Forecasting and Control George E. P. Box Time Series Analysis. Forecasting and Control Новинка

George E. P. Box Time Series Analysis. Forecasting and Control

11162.94 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Praise for the Fourth Edition “The book follows faithfully the style of the original edition. The approach is heavily motivated by real-world time series, and by developing a complete approach to model building, estimation, forecasting and control." – Mathematical Reviews Bridging classical models and modern topics, the Fifth Edition of Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control maintains a balanced presentation of the tools for modeling and analyzing time series. Also describing the latest developments that have occurred in the field over the past decade through applications from areas such as business, finance, and engineering, the Fifth Edition continues to serve as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition provides a clearly written exploration of the key methods for building, classifying, testing, and analyzing stochastic models for time series and describes their use in five important areas of application: forecasting; determining the transfer function of a system; modeling the effects of intervention events; developing multivariate dynamic models; and designing simple control schemes. Along with these classical uses, the new edition covers modern topics with new features that include: A redesigned chapter on multivariate time series analysis with an expanded treatment of Vector Autoregressive, or VAR models, along with a discussion of the analytical tools needed for modeling vector time series An expanded chapter on special topics covering unit root testing, time-varying volatility models such as ARCH and GARCH, nonlinear time series models, and long memory models Numerous examples drawn from finance, economics, engineering, and other related fields The use of the publicly available R software for graphical illustrations and numerical calculations along with scripts that demonstrate the use of R for model building and forecasting Updates to literature references throughout and new end-of-chapter exercises Streamlined chapter introductions and revisions that update and enhance the exposition Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition is a valuable real-world reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, finance, and related fields. The book is also an excellent textbook for beginning graduate-level courses in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics.
Michael Gilliland Business Forecasting. Practical Problems and Solutions Michael Gilliland Business Forecasting. Practical Problems and Solutions Новинка

Michael Gilliland Business Forecasting. Practical Problems and Solutions

3138.29 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
A comprehensive collection of the field's most provocative, influential new work Business Forecasting compiles some of the field's important and influential literature into a single, comprehensive reference for forecast modeling and process improvement. It is packed with provocative ideas from forecasting researchers and practitioners, on topics including accuracy metrics, benchmarking, modeling of problem data, and overcoming dysfunctional behaviors. Its coverage includes often-overlooked issues at the forefront of research, such as uncertainty, randomness, and forecastability, as well as emerging areas like data mining for forecasting. The articles present critical analysis of current practices and consideration of new ideas. With a mix of formal, rigorous pieces and brief introductory chapters, the book provides practitioners with a comprehensive examination of the current state of the business forecasting field. Forecasting performance is ultimately limited by the 'forecastability' of the data. Yet failing to recognize this, many organizations continue to squander resources pursuing unachievable levels of accuracy. This book provides a wealth of ideas for improving all aspects of the process, including the avoidance of wasted efforts that fail to improve (or even harm) forecast accuracy. Analyzes the most prominent issues in business forecasting Investigates emerging approaches and new methods of analysis Combines forecasts to improve accuracy Utilizes Forecast Value Added to identify process inefficiency The business environment is evolving, and forecasting methods must evolve alongside it. This compilation delivers an array of new tools and research that can enable more efficient processes and more accurate results. Business Forecasting provides an expert's-eye view of the field's latest developments to help you achieve your desired business outcomes.
John Cox D. Storm Watchers. The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Niño John Cox D. Storm Watchers. The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Niño Новинка

John Cox D. Storm Watchers. The Turbulent History of Weather Prediction from Franklin's Kite to El Niño

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A lively, inspiring account of the pioneers who sought to accurately predict the weather Benjamin Franklin . . . James P. Espy . . . Cleveland Abbe . . . Carl-Gustaf Rossby . . . Jule G. Charney . . . just a few of the remarkable individuals who struggled against formidable odds to understand the atmosphere and predict the weather. Where they saw patterns and processes, others saw randomness and tumult-and yet they strove to make their voices heard, often saving lives in the process. Storm Watchers takes you on a fascinating journey through time that captures the evolution of weather forecasting. From the age when meteorology was considered one step removed from sorcery to the modern-day wizardry of supercomputers, John Cox introduces you to the pioneering scientists whose work fulfilled an ancient dream and made it possible to foretell the future. He tells the little-known stories of these weathermen, such as Ptolemy's weather predictions based on astrology, John Finley's breakthrough research in identifying tornadoes, and Tor Bergeron's new techniques of weather forecasting, which contributed to its final worldwide acceptance. Filled with extraordinary tales of bravery and sacrifice, Storm Watchers will make you think twice the next time you turn on the local news to catch the weather report.
Bemer S Pague Weather forecasting and weather types on the North Pacific slope Bemer S Pague Weather forecasting and weather types on the North Pacific slope Новинка

Bemer S Pague Weather forecasting and weather types on the North Pacific slope

Эта книга — репринт оригинального издания, созданный на основе электронной копии высокого разрешения, которую очистили и обработали вручную, сохранив структуру и орфографию оригинального издания. Редкие, забытые и малоизвестные книги, изданные с петровских времен до наших дней, вновь доступны в виде печатных книг.
Mary Adrian The Junior Sheriff Mystery Mary Adrian The Junior Sheriff Mystery Новинка

Mary Adrian The Junior Sheriff Mystery

Two Junior Sheriffs -- who are part of the nationwide Junior Sheriff movement to combat juvenile delinquency -- solve a baffling robbery by means of boyish quick thinking and some new-found knowledge of weather forecasting.
William Mallios S. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets. Adaptive Drift Modeling William Mallios S. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets. Adaptive Drift Modeling Новинка

William Mallios S. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets. Adaptive Drift Modeling

8745.74 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing effective forecasting rules based on both graphical patterns and adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated time series. The book uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency that these markets oscillate through and develops profitable forecasting models that capitalize on irrational behavior exhibited during these periods. Providing valuable insights based on the author's firsthand experience, this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestick charts to identify optimal time periods in financial markets and optimal games in sports gambling markets for which forecasting models are likely to provide profitable trading and wagering outcomes. Featuring detailed examples that utilize actual data, the book addresses various topics that promote financial and mathematical literacy, including: Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets Cointegrated time series with model drift Modeling volatility Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications are presented, and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorable trading and betting opportunities, which are accompanied by mathematical developments in adaptive model forecasting and risk assessment. A related web site features updated reviews in sports and financial forecasting and various links on the topic. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is an excellent book for courses on financial economics and time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. The book is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners working in the areas of retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds, and time series. Also, anyone with a general interest in learning about how to profit from the financial and sports gambling markets will find this book to be a valuable resource.
Dunn Elias Bound The weather and practical methods of forecasting it Dunn Elias Bound The weather and practical methods of forecasting it Новинка

Dunn Elias Bound The weather and practical methods of forecasting it

Эта книга — репринт оригинального издания, созданный на основе электронной копии высокого разрешения, которую очистили и обработали вручную, сохранив структуру и орфографию оригинального издания. Редкие, забытые и малоизвестные книги, изданные с петровских времен до наших дней, вновь доступны в виде печатных книг.
Nadeem Akhtar, Faraz Khan, Faridul Haque Siddiqui Statistical Analysis of Continuous Data Streams Using DSMS Nadeem Akhtar, Faraz Khan, Faridul Haque Siddiqui Statistical Analysis of Continuous Data Streams Using DSMS Новинка

Nadeem Akhtar, Faraz Khan, Faridul Haque Siddiqui Statistical Analysis of Continuous Data Streams Using DSMS

Several applications involve a transient stream of data which has to be modeled and analyzed continuously. Their continuous arrival in multiple, rapid, time-varying and possibly unpredictable and unbounded way make the analysis difficult and opens fundamentally new research problems. Examples of such data intensive applications include stock market, road traffic analysis, whether forecasting systems etc. Data Stream Management Systems are specifically designed for handling continuous data streams. They can handle multiple, time-varying, unpredictable and unbounded streams which cannot be handled using traditional tools. In this work, we have used a Data Stream Management System- Stanford STREAM in three different application domain namely Road Traffic analysis, Habitat Monitoring analysis and Network Packet analysis. We have also used another DSMS, telegraphCQ, coupled with jamdroid, an open source road traffic analysis system, for mining road traffic data.
Kostas Nikolopoulos I. Forecasting With The Theta Method. Theory and Applications Kostas Nikolopoulos I. Forecasting With The Theta Method. Theory and Applications Новинка

Kostas Nikolopoulos I. Forecasting With The Theta Method. Theory and Applications

8142.59 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
The first book to be published on the Theta method, outlining under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods This book is the first to detail the Theta method of forecasting – one of the most difficult-to-beat forecasting benchmarks, which topped the biggest forecasting competition in the world in 2000: the M3 competition. Written by two of the leading experts in the forecasting field, it illuminates the exact replication of the method and under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods. Recent developments such as multivariate models are also included, as are a series of practical applications in finance, economics, and healthcare. The book also offers practical tools in MS Excel and guidance, as well as provisional access, for the use of R source code and respective packages. Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications includes three main parts. The first part, titled Theory, Methods, Models & Applications details the new theory about the method. The second part, Applications & Performance in Forecasting Competitions, describes empirical results and simulations on the method. The last part roadmaps future research and also include contributions from another leading scholar of the method – Dr. Fotios Petropoulos. First ever book to be published on the Theta Method Explores new theory and exact conditions under which methods would outperform most forecasting benchmarks Clearly written with practical applications Employs R – open source code with all included implementations Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications is a valuable tool for both academics and practitioners involved in forecasting and respective software development.
Hans-Georg Nollau, Carmen Zech Forecasting. A Challenge for True Statisticians Hans-Georg Nollau, Carmen Zech Forecasting. A Challenge for True Statisticians Новинка

Hans-Georg Nollau, Carmen Zech Forecasting. A Challenge for True Statisticians

At all times, looking into the future and knowing what is happening has been a dream of mankind. As a symbol for this attempt the Oracle of Delphi is the best proof and until today the Delphi-Method is an important decision support tool.Despite of all methods and procedures to make forecasting a high level of responsibility, seriousness and professionalism of all the involved people is an absolute necessity. Today, unfortunately we often have the situation where those who are putting society at risk are "no true statisticians", merely people using statistics either without understanding them or in a self-serving manner. This is not a joke, this is criminal!In the present contribution, the 16th volume of the publication series "Economy and Labour" with the title "Forecasting: A Challenge for True Statisticians", a scientific, well proofed method of mathematical statistics for Time Series Analysis and Forecasting is presented. It is one of the mathematically oriented methods and procedures of Customer-oriented-Holistic-Netted-Logistics CHNL described in this publication series.In the present volume an important forecasting tool is described and its power is impressively shown by case studies using the SCA-Software system.
Dr. Mohamed E. El-Hawary Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems. Load and Price Forecasting Dr. Mohamed E. El-Hawary Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems. Load and Price Forecasting Новинка

Dr. Mohamed E. El-Hawary Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems. Load and Price Forecasting

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A comprehensive review of state-of-the-art approaches to power systems forecasting from the most respected names in the field, internationally Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is the first book devoted exclusively to a subject of increasing urgency to power systems planning and operations. Written for practicing engineers, researchers, and post-grads concerned with power systems planning and forecasting, this book brings together contributions from many of the world’s foremost names in the field who address a range of critical issues, from forecasting power system load to power system pricing to post-storm service restoration times, river flow forecasting, and more. In a time of ever-increasing energy demands, mounting concerns over the environmental impacts of power generation, and the emergence of new, smart-grid technologies, electricity price forecasting has assumed a prominent role within both the academic and industrial arenas. Short-run forecasting of electricity prices has become necessary for power generation unit schedule, since it is the basis of every maximization strategy. This book fills a gap in the literature on this increasingly important topic. Following an introductory chapter offering background information necessary for a full understanding of the forecasting issues covered, this book: Introduces advanced methods of time series forecasting, as well as neural networks Provides in-depth coverage of state-of-the-art power system load forecasting and electricity price forecasting Addresses river flow forecasting based on autonomous neural network models Deals with price forecasting in a competitive market Includes estimation of post-storm restoration times for electric power distribution systems Features contributions from world-renowned experts sharing their insights and expertise in a series of self-contained chapters Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is a valuable resource for practicing engineers, regulators, planners, and consultants working in or concerned with the electric power industry. It is also a must read for senior undergraduates, graduate students, and researchers involved in power system planning and operation.
Timothy Jury Cash Flow Analysis and Forecasting. The Definitive Guide to Understanding and Using Published Cash Flow Data Timothy Jury Cash Flow Analysis and Forecasting. The Definitive Guide to Understanding and Using Published Cash Flow Data Новинка

Timothy Jury Cash Flow Analysis and Forecasting. The Definitive Guide to Understanding and Using Published Cash Flow Data

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This book is the definitive guide to cash flow statement analysis and forecasting. It takes the reader from an introduction about how cash flows move within a business, through to a detailed review of the contents of a cash flow statement. This is followed by detailed guidance on how to restate cash flows into a template format. The book shows how to use the template to analyse the data from start up, growth, mature and declining companies, and those using US GAAP and IAS reporting. The book includes real world examples from such companies as Black and Decker (US), Fiat (Italy) and Tesco (UK). A section on cash flow forecasting includes full coverage of spreadsheet risk and good practice. Complete with chapters of particular interest to those involved in credit markets as lenders or counter-parties, those running businesses and those in equity investing, this book is the definitive guide to understanding and interpreting cash flow data.
Nicole Gallicchio The Evolution of Meteorology. A Look into the Past, Present, and Future of Weather Forecasting Nicole Gallicchio The Evolution of Meteorology. A Look into the Past, Present, and Future of Weather Forecasting Новинка

Nicole Gallicchio The Evolution of Meteorology. A Look into the Past, Present, and Future of Weather Forecasting

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The essential guide to the history, current trends, and the future of meteorology This comprehensive review explores the evolution of the field of meteorology, from its infancy in 3000 bc, through the birth of fresh ideas and the naming of the field as a science, to the technology boom, to today. The Evolution of Meteorology reveals the full story of where meteorology was then to where it is now, where the field is heading, and what needs to be done to get the field to levels never before imagined. Authored by experts of the topic, this book includes information on forecasting technologies, organizations, governmental agencies, and world cooperative projects. The authors explore the ancient history of the first attempts to understand and predict weather and examine the influence of the very early birth of television, computers, and technologies that are useful to meteorology. This modern-day examination of meteorology is filled with compelling research, statistics, future paths, ideas, and suggestions. This vital resource: Examines current information on climate change and recent extreme weather events Starts with the Ancient Babylonians and ends with the largest global agreement of any kind with the Paris Agreement Includes current information on the most authoritative research in the field of meteorology Contains data on climate change theories and understanding, as well as extreme weather statistics and histories This enlightening text explores in full the history of the study of meteorology in order to bring awareness to the overall path and future prospects of meteorology.
Thomas Russell Meteorology, Weather, and Methods of Forecasting, Description of . Thomas Russell Meteorology, Weather, and Methods of Forecasting, Description of . Новинка

Thomas Russell Meteorology, Weather, and Methods of Forecasting, Description of .

Эта книга — репринт оригинального издания (издательство "Macmillan", 1906 год), созданный на основе электронной копии высокого разрешения, которую очистили и обработали вручную, сохранив структуру и орфографию оригинального издания. Редкие, забытые и малоизвестные книги, изданные с петровских времен до наших дней, вновь доступны в виде печатных книг.
Pekka Tiusanen Real Estate Price Forecasting in Finland Pekka Tiusanen Real Estate Price Forecasting in Finland Новинка

Pekka Tiusanen Real Estate Price Forecasting in Finland

Master's Thesis from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Miscellaneous, , language: English, abstract: There is an abundance of existing literature regarding time series forecasting and the housing market. This thesis evaluates the performance and statistical adequacy of several time series models in the context of real estate price forecasting in Finland. Each statistical model is applied so that forecasts are generated over the seven quarters following the training sample. The resulting forecasts are compared against realized price development. Model evaluation is carried out from the viewpoint of forecasting errors in the validation period, statistical fit, modelling constraints and success in the light of the theoretical framework. It was concluded that scarce ARIMA-based models are suitable for short-term real estate price forecasting in the concerned setting. The models were built on logarithmic I(1) nominal data and augmented with seasonal dummy variables. The Chen & Liu (1993) structural anomaly detection method enhanced statistical fit in the training period and forecasting accuracy in the validation period. The inclusion of a drift parameter generally led to inflated forecasting results in the validation period. The RMSE and MAE error statistics produced by the best ARIMA-based models remained well below 0.5 % in the validation period. The Holt & Winters and I(1) OLS models were also outperformed by the most adept ARIMA-based models. The in...
Kondrashova Nina Iterative algorithms for short-term forecasting Kondrashova Nina Iterative algorithms for short-term forecasting Новинка

Kondrashova Nina Iterative algorithms for short-term forecasting

The monograph examines the relaxation iterative algorithms for short-term forecasting of real processes. Their main structural features and the convergence are presented. These algorithms can work as with the small sample sizes (ranging from three records) so with the large amount of data (from three dozen up to thousand variables and up to five dozen of thousand records). Since in these algorithms is observed balance between speed and complexity of models which they build, there are suggested ways to increase the accuracy of solutions if volume of observations is small. For example, to accelerate drag selection for patients, there are used different sample divisions, adaptive prognosis and complex forecasting that takes into account low-frequency (trend) and high-frequency component (residue) of the real process. But one step forward forecast of space weather with a lot of records has shown the high accuracy on the examination sample without mentioned accuracy improvement tools. Comparison of oil price forecasts obtained via GMDH against well known methods showed greater accuracy for the first ones. This book is intended for specialists in the field of forecasting complex systems.
Michael McMillan Investments. Principles of Portfolio and Equity Analysis Michael McMillan Investments. Principles of Portfolio and Equity Analysis Новинка

Michael McMillan Investments. Principles of Portfolio and Equity Analysis

6282.86 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
A comprehensive guide to investment analysis and portfolio management by an expert team from the CFA Institute In a world of specialization, no other profession likely requires such broad, yet in-depth knowledge than that of financial analyst. Financial analysts must not only possess a broad understanding of the financial markets-including structure, organization, efficiency, portfolio management, risk and return, and planning and construction-but they must also have a strong sense of how to evaluate industries and companies prior to engaging in an analysis of a specific stock. Investments: Principles of Portfolio and Equity Analysis provides the broad-based knowledge professionals and students of the markets need to manage money and maximize return. The book Details market structure and functions, market anomalies, secondary market basics, and regulation Describes investment assets and asset classes, types of positions and orders, as well as forecasting methodologies Discusses return and risk characteristics, portfolio diversification and management, the basics of both technical analysis and major technical indicators, and much more A companion Workbook, which includes learning outcomes, summary overviews, and problems and solutions sections is available and sold separately Investments provides readers unparalleled access to the best in professional quality information on investment analysis and portfolio management.
Elena Parmigiani The Pricing of Weather Derivatives including Meteorological Forecasts Elena Parmigiani The Pricing of Weather Derivatives including Meteorological Forecasts Новинка

Elena Parmigiani The Pricing of Weather Derivatives including Meteorological Forecasts

Bachelor Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 4/4, , language: English, abstract: 1. AbstractThis paper analyses weather derivatives and the issue of pricing these financial instruments. The non-tradability of the underlying makes their pricing not straightforward and even if the Chicago Mercantile Exchange began trading the first weather contract in 1999, the market still witnesses very low volumes and is relatively illiquid. This theoretical analysis is focused on instruments whose underlying is temperature, since they are the most traded.Due to the assumption of informational efficient markets, all available information should theoretically be included in the prices. However most existing models focus only on historical observations of temperature, actually excluding some relevant information.The few models that have instead considered weather forecasts are analysed, and in particular the model introduced by Ritter, Musshoff, and Odening to price temperature monthly futures including weather forecasts is described in details. I've performed an analysis applying a simplified version of the model described, based on temperature data from Tampa, Florida, in 2007.The results show that models with meteorological forecasts indeed outperform models that ignore them.
Tim Rey, Arthur Kordon, Chip Wells Applied Data Mining for Forecasting Using SAS Tim Rey, Arthur Kordon, Chip Wells Applied Data Mining for Forecasting Using SAS Новинка

Tim Rey, Arthur Kordon, Chip Wells Applied Data Mining for Forecasting Using SAS

Applied Data Mining for Forecasting Using SAS, by Tim Rey, Arthur Kordon, and Chip Wells, introduces and describes approaches for mining large time series data sets. Written for forecasting practitioners, engineers, statisticians, and economists, the book details how to select useful candidate input variables for time series regression models in environments when the number of candidates is large, and identifies the correlation structure between selected candidate inputs and the forecast variable.
Alexander Harin Hypothesis (principle) of uncertain future. Utility theory. Economics. Forecasting Alexander Harin Hypothesis (principle) of uncertain future. Utility theory. Economics. Forecasting Новинка

Alexander Harin Hypothesis (principle) of uncertain future. Utility theory. Economics. Forecasting

Premises, formulation, consequences and applications of a hypothesis (principle) of uncertain future are reviewed. The hypothesis can be used in economics, especially in utility theory, and in forecasting.
Jerry Banks Forecasting and Management of Technology Jerry Banks Forecasting and Management of Technology Новинка

Jerry Banks Forecasting and Management of Technology

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Published in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for. Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in the real world.
Sarah Watt Economic and Business Forecasting. Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results Sarah Watt Economic and Business Forecasting. Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results Новинка

Sarah Watt Economic and Business Forecasting. Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results

4712.15 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the «ten commandments» for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.
Robert Weigand A. Applied Equity Analysis and Portfolio Management. Tools to Analyze and Manage Your Stock Portfolio Robert Weigand A. Applied Equity Analysis and Portfolio Management. Tools to Analyze and Manage Your Stock Portfolio Новинка

Robert Weigand A. Applied Equity Analysis and Portfolio Management. Tools to Analyze and Manage Your Stock Portfolio

8481.86 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
A «hands-on» guide to applied equity analysis and portfolio management From asset allocation to modeling the intrinsic value of a stock, Applied Equity Analysis and Portfolio Management + Online Video Course offers readers a solid foundation in the practice of fundamental analysis using the same tools and techniques as professional investors. Filled with real-world illustrations and hands-on applications, Professor Weigand's learning system takes a rigorous, empirical approach to topics such as analyzing the macro-finance environment, sector rotation, financial analysis and valuation, assessing a company's competitive position, and reporting the performance of a stock portfolio. Unlike typical books on this subject—which feature chapters to read and exercises to complete—this resource allows readers to actively participate in the learning experience by completing writing exercises and manipulating interactive spreadsheets that illustrate the principles being taught. The learning system also features instructional videos that demonstrate how to use the spreadsheet models and excerpts from the author's blog, which are used to depict additional examples of the analysis process. Along the way, it skillfully outlines an effective approach to creating and interpreting outputs typically associated with a top-down money management shop – including a macroeconomic forecasting newsletter, detailed stock research reports, and a portfolio performance attribution analysis. Covers topics including active and passive money management, fundamental analysis and portfolio attribution analysis Companion streaming videos show how to use free online data to create yourown analyses of key economic indicators, individual stocks, and stock portfolios A valuable resource for universities who have applied equity analysis and portfolio management courses Practical and up-to-date, the book is an excellent resource for those with a need for practical investment expertise.
William Roberts The Correlation Between Crime Rates and Weather Patterns in Northern Brooklyn During 2012 William Roberts The Correlation Between Crime Rates and Weather Patterns in Northern Brooklyn During 2012 Новинка

William Roberts The Correlation Between Crime Rates and Weather Patterns in Northern Brooklyn During 2012

Master's Thesis from the year 2014 in the subject Sociology - Law, Delinquency, Abnormal Behavior, grade: 1.0, City University of New York John Jay College of Criminal Justice, language: English, abstract: There has been a longstanding debate as to whether or not temperature affects the influx or decrease of violent crimes and crimes against property. This project adopts a retrospective and longitudinal approach to examine the association between weather patterns and crime rates in northern Brooklyn in 2012. Archival weekly time series is used from the National Weather Service, the New York City Police Department (NYPD), and the Department of Labor in this secondary data analysis. Results are analyzed and a determination made to see whether temperature and precipitation and crime have a statistically significant relationship and whether the relationship is positive or negative.
Kaoru Tone Advances in DEA Theory and Applications. With Extensions to Forecasting Models Kaoru Tone Advances in DEA Theory and Applications. With Extensions to Forecasting Models Новинка

Kaoru Tone Advances in DEA Theory and Applications. With Extensions to Forecasting Models

8186.15 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
A key resource and framework for assessing the performance of competing entities, including forecasting models Advances in DEA Theory and Applications provides a much-needed framework for assessing the performance of competing entities with special emphasis on forecasting models. It helps readers to determine the most appropriate methodology in order to make the most accurate decisions for implementation. Written by a noted expert in the field, this text provides a review of the latest advances in DEA theory and applications to the field of forecasting. Designed for use by anyone involved in research in the field of forecasting or in another application area where forecasting drives decision making, this text can be applied to a wide range of contexts, including education, health care, banking, armed forces, auditing, market research, retail outlets, organizational effectiveness, transportation, public housing, and manufacturing. This vital resource: Explores the latest developments in DEA frameworks for the performance evaluation of entities such as public or private organizational branches or departments, economic sectors, technologies, and stocks Presents a novel area of application for DEA; namely, the performance evaluation of forecasting models Promotes the use of DEA to assess the performance of forecasting models in a wide area of applications Provides rich, detailed examples and case studies Advances in DEA Theory and Applications includes information on a balanced benchmarking tool that is designed to help organizations examine their assumptions about their productivity and performance.
Ian Copsey Fractal Forecasting Ian Copsey Fractal Forecasting Новинка

Ian Copsey Fractal Forecasting

Ian Copsey is a veteran technical analyst having begun his career in markets 33 years ago in Barclays Bank trading rooms in London and Hong Kong - where he began his career as a technical analyst.He is author of Integrated Technical Analysis (1999) and Harmonic Elliott Wave (2011) and Fractal Forecasting (2015.) In 1993 he moved to Tokyo to work with Dow Jones Telerate for 7 years. He is an experienced speaker at technical analysis workshops and seminars. Late Ian had experience in a start up company in Singapore before becoming an independent analyst, providing his daily Forex analysis, and later equity and metals reports.His work with Harmonic Elliott Wave has been applauded with some of the most accurate forecasts in the industry, in both Forex and equity markets.He forecast the May 2015 high in the Dow Jones Industrial Index two years in advance that followed his forecast in July 2010 when he suggested that the Dow Jones Index would complete its first 5-wave rally from inception.
Nada Sanders Forecasting Fundamentals Nada Sanders Forecasting Fundamentals Новинка

Nada Sanders Forecasting Fundamentals

This book is for everyone who wants to make better forecasts. It is not about mathematics and statistics. It is about following a well-established forecasting process to create and implement good forecasts. This is true whether you are forecasting global markets, sales of SKUs, competitive strategy, or market disruptions. Today, most forecasts are generated using software. However, no amount of technology and statistics can compensate for a poor forecasting process. Forecasting is not just about generating a number. Forecasters need to understand the problems they are trying to solve. They also need to follow a process that is justifiable to other parties and be implemented in practice. This is what the book is about. Accurate forecasts are essential for predicting demand, identifying new market opportunities, forecasting risks, disruptions, innovation, competition, market growth and trends. Companies can navigate this daunting landscape and improve their forecasts by following some well-established principles. This book is written to provide the fundamentals business leaders need in order to make good forecasts. These fundamentals hold true regardless of what is being forecast and what technology is being used. It provides the basic foundational principles all companies need to achieve competitive forecast accuracy.
Stephan Kolassa, Enno Siemsen Demand Forecasting for Managers Stephan Kolassa, Enno Siemsen Demand Forecasting for Managers Новинка

Stephan Kolassa, Enno Siemsen Demand Forecasting for Managers

Most decisions and plans in a firm require a forecast. Not matching supply with demand can make or break any business, and that's why forecasting is so invaluable. Forecasting can appear as a frightening topic with many arcane equations to master. For this reason, the authors start out from the very basics and provide a non-technical overview of common forecasting techniques as well as organizational aspects of creating a robust forecasting process. The book also discusses how to measure forecast accuracy to hold people accountable and guide continuous improvement. This book does not require prior knowledge of higher mathematics, statistics, or operations research. It is designed to serve as a first introduction to the non-expert, such as a manager overseeing a forecasting group, or an MBA student who needs to be familiar with the broad outlines of forecasting without specializing in it.
Pierre Carrega Geographical Information and Climatology Pierre Carrega Geographical Information and Climatology Новинка

Pierre Carrega Geographical Information and Climatology

8519.56 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
This book includes two parts. The first part is more theoretical and general, and it covers fundamental principles: geospatial climate data measurement; spatial analysis, mapping and climate; geographical information, remote sensing and climatology; and geographical information for initialisation of forecasting and climate models. The second part describes geographical information used in various climate applications of importance today, related to risk: urban climate; air pollution; hydrological problems linked to climatology; forest fires.
Thomas Russell Meteorology, weather, and methods of forecasting, description of meteorological instruments and river flood predictions in the United States Thomas Russell Meteorology, weather, and methods of forecasting, description of meteorological instruments and river flood predictions in the United States Новинка

Thomas Russell Meteorology, weather, and methods of forecasting, description of meteorological instruments and river flood predictions in the United States

Эта книга — репринт оригинального издания (издательство "New York, London, Macmillan and co.", 1895 год), созданный на основе электронной копии высокого разрешения, которую очистили и обработали вручную, сохранив структуру и орфографию оригинального издания. Редкие, забытые и малоизвестные книги, изданные с петровских времен до наших дней, вновь доступны в виде печатных книг.
Reinhold Ebertin Rapid and Reliable Analysis Reinhold Ebertin Rapid and Reliable Analysis Новинка

Reinhold Ebertin Rapid and Reliable Analysis

Reinhold Ebertin explains his method for rapid and reliable analysis of the natal chart and predictive factors, including the three basic factors used in chart interpretation and forecasting. He begins by explaining the use of midpoints as a valuable tool in both natal and predictive astrology, and how they can identify periods of career success and medical issues.All of the author's points are illustrated with numerous examples in three basic categories: successful people in a variety of careers; people who experienced major change and transformation in their lives; people who died as the result of accident, suicide, and health factors; and people who experienced major career setbacks. A final section in the book includes twenty-four short examples that indicate successful periods, as well as health-related events.
Steven Horstmeyer L. The Weather Almanac. A Reference Guide to Weather, Climate, and Related Issues in the United States and Its Key Cities Steven Horstmeyer L. The Weather Almanac. A Reference Guide to Weather, Climate, and Related Issues in the United States and Its Key Cities Новинка

Steven Horstmeyer L. The Weather Almanac. A Reference Guide to Weather, Climate, and Related Issues in the United States and Its Key Cities

16884.56 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
The Weather Almanac, 12th Edition is a resource for a variety of climate and meteorological data including both domestic and international weather trends, historical weather patterns dating back 1000 years, natural disasters, and a 20 page glossary of weather terminology. The book is complete with detailed maps, pictures, and tables compiling climate data from a variety of sources, including the National Weather Service and the US Geological Survey. Separate sections in The Weather Almanac are devoted to tornadoes, hurricanes, thunderstorms, and lightening, flash floods, and winter storms, and they have been edited from official reports by governmental agencies. The new edition has been updated to include recent disasters such as the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami that devastated Indonesia as well as 2005’s Hurricane Katrina. These chapters serve as a basic reference for severe weather and extreme conditions, which can assist in preparing for a weather emergency.
Joish Bosco, Fateh Khan Stock Market Prediction and Efficiency Analysis using Recurrent Neural Network Joish Bosco, Fateh Khan Stock Market Prediction and Efficiency Analysis using Recurrent Neural Network Новинка

Joish Bosco, Fateh Khan Stock Market Prediction and Efficiency Analysis using Recurrent Neural Network

Project Report from the year 2018 in the subject Computer Science - Technical Computer Science, , course: Computer Science, language: English, abstract: Modeling and Forecasting of the financial market have been an attractive topic to scholars and researchers from various academic fields. The financial market is an abstract concept where financial commodities such as stocks, bonds, and precious metals transactions happen between buyers and sellers. In the present scenario of the financial market world, especially in the stock market, forecasting the trend or the price of stocks using machine learning techniques and artificial neural networks are the most attractive issue to be investigated. As Giles explained, financial forecasting is an instance of signal processing problem which is difficult because of high noise, small sample size, non-stationary, and non-linearity. The noisy characteristics mean the incomplete information gap between past stock trading price and volume with a future price. The stock market is sensitive with the political and macroeconomic environment. However, these two kinds of information are too complex and unstable to gather. The above information that cannot be included in features are considered as noise. The sample size of financial data is determined by real-world transaction records. On one hand, a larger sample size refers a longer period of transaction records; on the other hand, large sample size increases the uncertainty of financial environm...
Steven Horstmeyer L. The Weather Almanac. A Reference Guide to Weather, Climate, and Related Issues in the United States and Its Key Cities Steven Horstmeyer L. The Weather Almanac. A Reference Guide to Weather, Climate, and Related Issues in the United States and Its Key Cities Новинка

Steven Horstmeyer L. The Weather Almanac. A Reference Guide to Weather, Climate, and Related Issues in the United States and Its Key Cities

16666.74 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
The Weather Almanac, 12th Edition is a resource for a variety of climate and meteorological data including both domestic and international weather trends, historical weather patterns dating back 1000 years, natural disasters, and a 20 page glossary of weather terminology. The book is complete with detailed maps, pictures, and tables compiling climate data from a variety of sources, including the National Weather Service and the US Geological Survey. Separate sections in The Weather Almanac are devoted to tornadoes, hurricanes, thunderstorms, and lightening, flash floods, and winter storms, and they have been edited from official reports by governmental agencies. The new edition has been updated to include recent disasters such as the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami that devastated Indonesia as well as 2005’s Hurricane Katrina. These chapters serve as a basic reference for severe weather and extreme conditions, which can assist in preparing for a weather emergency.
Robert Ross Reliability Analysis for Asset Management of Electric Power Grids Robert Ross Reliability Analysis for Asset Management of Electric Power Grids Новинка

Robert Ross Reliability Analysis for Asset Management of Electric Power Grids

11761.51 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
A practical guide to facilitate statistically well-founded decisions in the management of assets of an electricity grid Effective and economic electric grid asset management and incident management involve many complex decisions on inspection, maintenance, repair and replacement. This timely reference provides statistically well-founded, tried and tested analysis methodologies for improved decision making and asset management strategy for optimum grid reliability and availability. The techniques described are also sufficiently robust to apply to small data sets enabling asset managers to deal with early failures or testing with limited sample sets. The book describes the background, concepts and statistical techniques to evaluate failure distributions, probabilities, remaining lifetime, similarity and compliancy of observed data with specifications, asymptotic behavior of parameter estimators, effectiveness of network configurations and stocks of spare parts. It also shows how the graphical representation and parameter estimation from analysis of data can be made consistent, as well as explaining modern upcoming methodologies such as the Health Index and Risk Index. Key features: Offers hands-on tools and techniques for data analysis, similarity index, failure forecasting, health and risk indices and the resulting maintenance strategies. End-of-chapter problems and solutions to facilitate self-study via a book companion website. The book is essential reading for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in electrical engineering, quality engineers, utilities and industry strategists, transmission and distribution system planners, asset managers and risk managers.
Conrad Carlberg Excel Sales Forecasting For Dummies Conrad Carlberg Excel Sales Forecasting For Dummies Новинка

Conrad Carlberg Excel Sales Forecasting For Dummies

1884.23 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Excel at predicting sales and forecasting trends using Microsoft Excel! If you're a sales or marketing professional, you know that forecasting sales is one of the biggest challenges you face on the job. Unlike other books on the subject, Excel Sales Forecasting For Dummies, 2nd Edition leaves arcane business school terms and complex algebraic equations at the door, focusing instead on what you can do right now to utilize the world's most popular spreadsheet program to produce forecasts you can rely on. Loaded with confidence boosters for anyone who succumbs to sweaty palms when sales predictions are mentioned, this trusted guide show you how to use the many tools Excel provides to arrange your past data, set up lists and pivot tables, use moving averages, and so much more. Before you know it, you'll become a forecaster par excellence—even if numbers aren't your jam. Choose the right forecasting method Find relationships in your data Predict seasonal sales Filter lists or turn them into charts Consider this guide your crystal ball—and start predicting the future with confidence and ease!
Mark Etzkorn A Complete Guide to the Futures Market. Technical Analysis, Trading Systems, Fundamental Analysis, Options, Spreads, and Trading Principles Mark Etzkorn A Complete Guide to the Futures Market. Technical Analysis, Trading Systems, Fundamental Analysis, Options, Spreads, and Trading Principles Новинка

Mark Etzkorn A Complete Guide to the Futures Market. Technical Analysis, Trading Systems, Fundamental Analysis, Options, Spreads, and Trading Principles

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For Amazon customers: The new version of the book, printed on higher quality paper, is now available to purchase. The essential futures market reference guide A Complete Guide to the Futures Market is the comprehensive resource for futures traders and analysts. Spanning everything from technical analysis, trading systems, and fundamental analysis to options, spreads, and practical trading principles, A Complete Guide is required reading for any trader or investor who wants to successfully navigate the futures market. Clear, concise, and to the point, this fully revised and updated second edition provides a solid foundation in futures market basics, details key analysis and forecasting techniques, explores advanced trading concepts, and illustrates the practical application of these ideas with hundreds of market examples. A Complete Guide to the Futures Market: Details different trading and analytical approaches, including chart analysis, technical indicators and trading systems, regression analysis, and fundamental market models. Separates misleading market myths from reality. Gives step-by-step instruction for developing and testing original trading ideas and systems. Illustrates a wide range of option strategies, and explains the trading implications of each. Details a wealth of practical trading guidelines and market insights from a recognized trading authority. Trading futures without a firm grasp of this market’s realities and nuances is a recipe for losing money. A Complete Guide to the Futures Market offers serious traders and investors the tools to keep themselves on the right side of the ledger.
W. D. Gann The W. D. Gann Master Commodity Course. Original Commodity Market Trading Course W. D. Gann The W. D. Gann Master Commodity Course. Original Commodity Market Trading Course Новинка

W. D. Gann The W. D. Gann Master Commodity Course. Original Commodity Market Trading Course

W. D. Gann's Commodities Trading Course is an extensive course. This course gives you a number of different trading techniques and skills. Which include: charting, chart interpretation, using Gann Angles, Squaring Price and Time, using Gann Squares, Square of Nine, Gann Numbers, Gann Calculators and more. This course consists of Gann's original course he sold in the early 1950's for a reported $5,000. Here is a listing of the subjects covered in this Course: Speculation; a Profitable Profession. Mechanical Method and Trend Indicator Rules for Trading in Grains The Basis of My Forecasting Methods for Grains Forecasting by Time Cycles. The Basis of My Forecasting Method for Cotton Mechanical Method and New Trend Indicator for Cotton Cash and May Soybean Futures Master Egg Course Master Charts Supplement Section
Dominique Habimana Time Series Econometrics Analysis Dominique Habimana Time Series Econometrics Analysis Новинка

Dominique Habimana Time Series Econometrics Analysis

This text book presents the application of time series econometrics methods in economics. The main focus of this book is to describe the main principles of time series models and show how they can be used to understand the process of macroeconomic variables and the way they interact each other. In this book, the autoregressive models (ARMA), vector autoregressive (VAR) models, error correction models together with the cointegration analysis, and a well explained econometric modeling procedure are described; with application in modeling and forecasting the inflation process in Rwanda as a country whose economic activities is processing so fast after the 1994 genocide. This text book is very useful for undergraduate students whose specialization is economics, econometrics, statistics and mathematics, and for postgraduate students in the fields mentioned above.
Ram Krishna Pandey, Abhinav Mishra, Rupesh Tomer Fruit Trade in India. Matlab Programming for Prediction of monthly Arrival and Prices of various Fruits Ram Krishna Pandey, Abhinav Mishra, Rupesh Tomer Fruit Trade in India. Matlab Programming for Prediction of monthly Arrival and Prices of various Fruits Новинка

Ram Krishna Pandey, Abhinav Mishra, Rupesh Tomer Fruit Trade in India. Matlab Programming for Prediction of monthly Arrival and Prices of various Fruits

Project Report from the year 2009 in the subject Engineering - General, Basics, grade: Bachelor of Technology, , language: English, abstract: In this study an attempt was made to analyse the fruit arrival and price patterns in a wholesale fruit market (Haldwani Mandi) for trend and seasonality in order to develop forecasting models for the fruit arrival process so as to rationalize an important input to fruit mandi system design. Historical time series data on monthly arrivals and average monthly prices was collected from the Haldwani mandi records for the period January, 1990 to April, 2009. Arrivals and prices of five fruits (Mango, Banana, Apple, Peach and Orange) were considered. A program in MATLAB 7.0 was developed for trend and seasonal analysis. For forecasting, these trend models were extended and seasonal index were applied for each month. Forecasting models were developed on the basis of first 204 months (January 1990 to December 2006) data using time series analysis technique. Forecasts were generated for the next 36 months (January 2007 to December 2009). These forecasts were compared with the actual arrivals for January 2007 to April 2009. Results of the present investigation have shown that arrival of Apple was observed in the month of July, Banana arrived maximum in October, whereas Mango, Orange and Peach recorded maximum arrival in the months of July, April and May respectively. Seasonal indices corresponding to these peak arrivals were 626.66, 136.29, 876.0...
Jeffery Sims The No-Nonsense Guide To Heat Wave, Drought, . Hot Weather Safety (Enhanced Edition) Jeffery Sims The No-Nonsense Guide To Heat Wave, Drought, . Hot Weather Safety (Enhanced Edition) Новинка

Jeffery Sims The No-Nonsense Guide To Heat Wave, Drought, . Hot Weather Safety (Enhanced Edition)

This book could save your life! The No-Nonsense Guide To Heat Wave, Drought,& Hot Weather Safety--Enhanced Edition is the re-edited guide focusing on preparation and planning for natural (and man-made) disasters. This guide is designed to provide a comprehensive source for the latest research related to hot-weather safety. Subjects covered include: providing a basic understanding of hot weather and its effects on the human body; addressing long-held myths on what helps to stay cool (and what doesn't); the effects of droughts and heat waves; how to be proactive in preparing for hot weather; water-saving strategies; providing sound advice by government & weather professionals/researchers on the best courses of action during hot-weather events. This manual also contains several updated appendices that include : a list of useful weather-warning smartphone and computer apps, a guide to specific types of sunburns, and several other relevant hot-weather topics, and a larger size.
R. Abercromby Principles of Forecasting by Means of Weather Charts R. Abercromby Principles of Forecasting by Means of Weather Charts Новинка

R. Abercromby Principles of Forecasting by Means of Weather Charts

Эта книга — репринт оригинального издания (издательство "London: For Her Majesty's stationery office", 1885 год), созданный на основе электронной копии высокого разрешения, которую очистили и обработали вручную, сохранив структуру и орфографию оригинального издания. Редкие, забытые и малоизвестные книги, изданные с петровских времен до наших дней, вновь доступны в виде печатных книг.
Early Bird: Weather Early Bird: Weather Новинка

Early Bird: Weather

Foster a love of reading and help your child get ready for kindergarten. Your child will enjoy the illustrated stories and activities, which are related to weather conditions, daily weather changes, and how weather helps us. You will appreciate the engaging language, math, and alphabet card activities that teach basic readiness skills. Early Bird: Weather includes: Three colorful storybooks: Wondering About the Weather, A Wonderful Week of Weather, and Weather Helps Us. Your child can read the story aloud or listen to you read the story to him or her. The interesting topics and illustrations motivate children to read! Fun activities that provide age-appropriate practice of language, math, and fine motor skills. After each story, the activity pages help your child show what he or she learned and practice fundamental skills. Sample skills include: Story comprehension; letter recognition; sequencing Counting to 20; patterning; beginning computation Rhymes and chants to help your child learn new vocabulary Theme-based alphabet cards with games. The flashcards can be cut and sorted to play fun matching games with your child. Hands-on activities further help your child learn letters and their sounds. Answer key
Danny Myers New Economic Thinking and Real Estate Danny Myers New Economic Thinking and Real Estate Новинка

Danny Myers New Economic Thinking and Real Estate

4066.95 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
New Economic Thinking and Real Estate offers a modern and distinctive approach to forecasting and understanding property markets. With this book, students will develop an intuitive ability to interpret economic indicators and acquire the confidence to assess property markets. The book is divided into three parts: Part A: Resource choices – deals with microeconomics; Part B: Financial Systems – seeks to make sense of the macroeconomic scene and Part C: Measuring and Forecasting.
Antonin Dvorak Insight into Fuzzy Modeling Antonin Dvorak Insight into Fuzzy Modeling Новинка

Antonin Dvorak Insight into Fuzzy Modeling

8930.35 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Provides a unique and methodologically consistent treatment of various areas of fuzzy modeling and includes the results of mathematical fuzzy logic and linguistics This book is the result of almost thirty years of research on fuzzy modeling. It provides a unique view of both the theory and various types of applications. The book is divided into two parts. The first part contains an extensive presentation of the theory of fuzzy modeling. The second part presents selected applications in three important areas: control and decision-making, image processing, and time series analysis and forecasting. The authors address the consistent and appropriate treatment of the notions of fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic and their applications. They provide two complementary views of the methodology, which is based on fuzzy IF-THEN rules. The first, more traditional method involves fuzzy approximation and the theory of fuzzy relations. The second method is based on a combination of formal fuzzy logic and linguistics. A very important topic covered for the first time in book form is the fuzzy transform (F-transform). Applications of this theory are described in separate chapters and include image processing and time series analysis and forecasting. All of the mentioned components make this book of interest to students and researchers of fuzzy modeling as well as to practitioners in industry. Features: Provides a foundation of fuzzy modeling and proposes a thorough description of fuzzy modeling methodology Emphasizes fuzzy modeling based on results in linguistics and formal logic Includes chapters on natural language and approximate reasoning, fuzzy control and fuzzy decision-making, and image processing using the F-transform Discusses fuzzy IF-THEN rules for approximating functions, fuzzy cluster analysis, and time series forecasting Insight into Fuzzy Modeling is a reference for researchers in the fields of soft computing and fuzzy logic as well as undergraduate, master and Ph.D. students. Vilém Novák, D.Sc. is Full Professor and Director of the Institute for Research and Applications of Fuzzy Modeling, University of Ostrava, Czech Republic. Irina Perfilieva, Ph.D. is Full Professor, Senior Scientist, and Head of the Department of Theoretical Research at the Institute for Research and Applications of Fuzzy Modeling, University of Ostrava, Czech Republic. Antonín Dvorák, Ph.D. is Associate Professor, and Senior Scientist at the Institute for Research and Applications of Fuzzy Modeling, University of Ostrava, Czech Republic.
Jeffery Sims The No-Nonsense Guide to Heat Wave, Drought, . Hot Weather Safety Jeffery Sims The No-Nonsense Guide to Heat Wave, Drought, . Hot Weather Safety Новинка

Jeffery Sims The No-Nonsense Guide to Heat Wave, Drought, . Hot Weather Safety

This book could save your life! The No-Nonsense Guide To Heat Wave, Drought,& Hot Weather Safety is the latest in a series focusing on preparing for natural (and man-made) disasters. This guide is designed to provide a comprehensive source for the latest research related to hot-weather safety. Subjects covered include: providing a basic survey-level understanding of hot weather and its effects on the human body; addressing long-held myths on what helps to stay cool (and what doesn't); the effects of droughts and heat waves; how to be proactive in preparing for hot weather; water-saving strategies; providing sound advice by government & weather professionals/researchers on the best courses of action during hot-weather events. This manual also contains several useful appendices that include a listing of government and charitable resources, a list of useful weather-warning smartphone and computer apps, a guide to specific types of sunburns, and several other relevant hot-weather topics.
Andrei Bourchtein Counterexamples on Uniform Convergence. Sequences, Series, Functions, and Integrals Andrei Bourchtein Counterexamples on Uniform Convergence. Sequences, Series, Functions, and Integrals Новинка

Andrei Bourchtein Counterexamples on Uniform Convergence. Sequences, Series, Functions, and Integrals

6322.13 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
A comprehensive and thorough analysis of concepts and results on uniform convergence Counterexamples on Uniform Convergence: Sequences, Series, Functions, and Integrals presents counterexamples to false statements typically found within the study of mathematical analysis and calculus, all of which are related to uniform convergence. The book includes the convergence of sequences, series and families of functions, and proper and improper integrals depending on a parameter. The exposition is restricted to the main definitions and theorems in order to explore different versions (wrong and correct) of the fundamental concepts and results. The goal of the book is threefold. First, the authors provide a brief survey and discussion of principal results of the theory of uniform convergence in real analysis. Second, the book aims to help readers master the presented concepts and theorems, which are traditionally challenging and are sources of misunderstanding and confusion. Finally, this book illustrates how important mathematical tools such as counterexamples can be used in different situations. The features of the book include: An overview of important concepts and theorems on uniform convergence Well-organized coverage of the majority of the topics on uniform convergence studied in analysis courses An original approach to the analysis of important results on uniform convergence based\ on counterexamples Additional exercises at varying levels of complexity for each topic covered in the book A supplementary Instructor’s Solutions Manual containing complete solutions to all exercises, which is available via a companion website Counterexamples on Uniform Convergence: Sequences, Series, Functions, and Integrals is an appropriate reference and/or supplementary reading for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses in mathematical analysis and advanced calculus for students majoring in mathematics, engineering, and other sciences. The book is also a valuable resource for instructors teaching mathematical analysis and calculus. ANDREI BOURCHTEIN, PhD, is Professor in the Department of Mathematics at Pelotas State University in Brazil. The author of more than 100 referred articles and five books, his research interests include numerical analysis, computational fluid dynamics, numerical weather prediction, and real analysis. Dr. Andrei Bourchtein received his PhD in Mathematics and Physics from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia. LUDMILA BOURCHTEIN, PhD, is Senior Research Scientist at the Institute of Physics and Mathematics at Pelotas State University in Brazil. The author of more than 80 referred articles and three books, her research interests include real and complex analysis, conformal mappings, and numerical analysis. Dr. Ludmila Bourchtein received her PhD in Mathematics from Saint Petersburg State University in Russia.
David Insua Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models David Insua Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models Новинка

David Insua Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models

8628.86 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
Bayesian analysis of complex models based on stochastic processes has in recent years become a growing area. This book provides a unified treatment of Bayesian analysis of models based on stochastic processes, covering the main classes of stochastic processing including modeling, computational, inference, forecasting, decision making and important applied models. Key features: Explores Bayesian analysis of models based on stochastic processes, providing a unified treatment. Provides a thorough introduction for research students. Computational tools to deal with complex problems are illustrated along with real life case studies Looks at inference, prediction and decision making. Researchers, graduate and advanced undergraduate students interested in stochastic processes in fields such as statistics, operations research (OR), engineering, finance, economics, computer science and Bayesian analysis will benefit from reading this book. With numerous applications included, practitioners of OR, stochastic modelling and applied statistics will also find this book useful.
Victor Rudenno The Mining Valuation Handbook. Mining and Energy Valuation for Investors and Management Victor Rudenno The Mining Valuation Handbook. Mining and Energy Valuation for Investors and Management Новинка

Victor Rudenno The Mining Valuation Handbook. Mining and Energy Valuation for Investors and Management

10555.2 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
The essential guide to investing in mining opportunities, now in its Fourth Edition A comprehensive guide to mining investment analysis designed for use by financial and mining analysts, executives, and investors, The Mining Valuation Handbook: Mining and Energy Valuation for Investors and Management has become an essential resource for assessing the value and investment potential of mining opportunities. Fully revised and updated, this fourth edition of the classic text provides new and up-to-date information to better explain the mysteries surrounding the resources industry. Written by Victor Rudenno, a leading global expert on mining investment analysis and consultant to mining companies, financial bodies, and governments, The Mining Valuation Handbook: Mining and Energy Valuation for Investors and Management, Fourth Edition covers a wide range of essential topics, including: feasibility studies, commodity values and forecasting, classification of resources and reserves, indicative capital and operating costs, valuation and pricing techniques, qualifying risk, the impact of exploration and expansion, and more. Fourth edition of the bestselling text on assessing mining investment opportunities Author Victor Rudenno is a respected global expert on mining investment analysis Key topics, including feasibility studies, valuation techniques, and risk qualification are covered in detail Packed with invaluable mining information for the financial industry and financial information for the mining industry, The Mining Valuation Handbook is the definitive guide to assessing and investing in mining opportunities.
J. F. P. Galvin An Introduction to the Meteorology and Climate of the Tropics J. F. P. Galvin An Introduction to the Meteorology and Climate of the Tropics Новинка

J. F. P. Galvin An Introduction to the Meteorology and Climate of the Tropics

5953.57 руб. или Купить в рассрочку!
What do we mean by the tropics? The weather and the climates it produces across the tropical zone are significantly different from those experienced by the people living in higher latitudes, so forecasters across Europe and much of North America are unfamiliar with its effects. In this book, Jim Galvin demystifies the topic in this zone that is increasingly of interest to those studying weather and climate. This book was written for weather forecasters, meteorology, environmental science and geography students as an introductory guide. It builds on the experience of the author, his professional experience in the World Area Forecast Centre at the Met Office, Exeter, using studies into the weather and climate seen within the tropical air mass conducted over many years. Its unique approach presents a practical approach to tropical weather studies, drawing on both academic and practical knowledge, covering air mass dynamics, seasonal changes, moist and dry weather, climate variability and human health in chapters and appendices that build up the overall picture, summarising our current state of knowledge. As an overview, it covers the broad range of effects connected with climate and weather in a straightforward way and is clearly illustrated throughout.
David Wojcikiewicz Digital Transformation of the Claims Process. Requirements and Benefits of Digital Data Analysis and Forecasting Methods to Increase the Product Quality in the Automotive Supply Chain David Wojcikiewicz Digital Transformation of the Claims Process. Requirements and Benefits of Digital Data Analysis and Forecasting Methods to Increase the Product Quality in the Automotive Supply Chain Новинка

David Wojcikiewicz Digital Transformation of the Claims Process. Requirements and Benefits of Digital Data Analysis and Forecasting Methods to Increase the Product Quality in the Automotive Supply Chain

Masterarbeit aus dem Jahr 2018 im Fachbereich Ingenieurwissenschaften - Wirtschaftsingenieurwesen, Note: 1,0, Technische Universität Berlin, Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: The contemporary car is a highly complex product which results from the concerted cooperation between the automobile manufacturer and its multiple suppliers. The intensive vehicle use often leads to component failures in the field. In order to identify the causes of failure and generate valuable knowledge about the defective parts, the components are analyzed on a random basis as part of the claims process. Instead of a random sample, however, the selection process should take the attributes and the additional information content of the components into account. A large amount of data is created along the entire product lifecycle and can be used to select the components in a more targeted manner. This thesis investigates the opportunities of the intelligent use and analysis of smart data in order to find data patterns, group the components based on their characteristics, and create data-driven samples for the failure analysis. For this purpose, a data processing and analysis concept is developed that can help to lower the analysis costs, reduce the expenditure of time, and improve the product quality. Additionally, this data analysis tool can also be applied to monitor the current condition of the components which are still in the field and preventively detect potential failures. Since the effectiveness of the ...

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A comprehensive and thorough analysis of concepts and results on uniform convergence Counterexamples on Uniform Convergence: Sequences, Series, Functions, and Integrals presents counterexamples to false statements typically found within the study of mathematical analysis and calculus, all of which are related to uniform convergence. The book includes the convergence of sequences, series and families of functions, and proper and improper integrals depending on a parameter. The exposition is restricted to the main definitions and theorems in order to explore different versions (wrong and correct) of the fundamental concepts and results. The goal of the book is threefold. First, the authors provide a brief survey and discussion of principal results of the theory of uniform convergence in real analysis. Second, the book aims to help readers master the presented concepts and theorems, which are traditionally challenging and are sources of misunderstanding and confusion. Finally, this book illustrates how important mathematical tools such as counterexamples can be used in different situations. The features of the book include: An overview of important concepts and theorems on uniform convergence Well-organized coverage of the majority of the topics on uniform convergence studied in analysis courses An original approach to the analysis of important results on uniform convergence based\ on counterexamples Additional exercises at varying levels of complexity for each topic covered in the book A supplementary Instructor’s Solutions Manual containing complete solutions to all exercises, which is available via a companion website Counterexamples on Uniform Convergence: Sequences, Series, Functions, and Integrals is an appropriate reference and/or supplementary reading for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses in mathematical analysis and advanced calculus for students majoring in mathematics, engineering, and other sciences. The book is also a valuable resource for instructors teaching mathematical analysis and calculus. ANDREI BOURCHTEIN, PhD, is Professor in the Department of Mathematics at Pelotas State University in Brazil. The author of more than 100 referred articles and five books, his research interests include numerical analysis, computational fluid dynamics, numerical weather prediction, and real analysis. Dr. Andrei Bourchtein received his PhD in Mathematics and Physics from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia. LUDMILA BOURCHTEIN, PhD, is Senior Research Scientist at the Institute of Physics and Mathematics at Pelotas State University in Brazil. The author of more than 80 referred articles and three books, her research interests include real and complex analysis, conformal mappings, and numerical analysis. Dr. Ludmila Bourchtein received her PhD in Mathematics from Saint Petersburg State University in Russia.
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